However, Iowa State massively underachieved last season, which worries me because that energy might carry over into this year.Įntering 2021, the Cyclones returned a veteran team with Brock Purdy at quarterback and All-American Breece Hall at running back. Since then, Campbell’s squad has won at least seven games a year. In his first season, he only had three wins.
The Cyclones won 11 combined games in the four seasons before Campbell arrived. I understand the love head coach Matt Campbell has gotten for his work at Iowa State. Iowa State - Under 6.5 wins : -110 at FOX Bet (bet $10 to win $19.09) I can see Oklahoma at 7-0 before the bye week. After that, OU will need to beat either Baylor or Oklahoma State to get to nine Ws on the season. Then after playing Iowa State, West Virginia and Texas Tech - assuming they go into that stretch at 5-2 - the Sooners should have eight wins. At worst, they will be 5-2 after seven games. Then they get Texas and Kansas before a bye week. The Sooners open with five games where they will be heavily favored, including a Week 3 matchup at Nebraska. Because this number isn’t based on Oklahoma's talent or schedule. This win-total projection must reflect oddsmakers' uncertainty about the prowess of new head coach Brent Venables. Oklahoma - Over 8.5 wins : -167 at FOX Bet (bet $10 to win $15.99 total) If youngster Blake Shapen, who started at quarterback in the season finale and in the Big 12 Championship Game, can continue to grow into the role, the Bears' offense could be serviceable enough to win the conference again. Baylor returns four of its outstanding offensive linemen but lost a handful of receivers and has a few question marks at quarterback - which is why the odds to win the conference are +600. On the other side of the ball, the Bears' offense finished 40th in scoring and 34th in yards per play last season. The defense shouldn't see any regression in 2022 because the Bears return seven starters to a unit that's known to confuse opposing offenses with three-down looks. Baylor won the conference last season with a defense that ranked 10th in scoring and seventh in points per play. Long shot - Baylor : +600 at FOX Bet (bet $10 to win $70 total) to win Big 12Ĭalling the 2021 Big 12 conference winners a long shot feels like a disservice to the program head coach Dave Aranda is building.
I have to give the edge to the Sooners to win the Big 12. Oklahoma has the conference's most talented roster at the moment, they have motivation to show they do not need Lincoln Riley to win, and they will be much improved on defense. While the existing personnel isn’t quite what Venables is used to - Riley recruited smaller, quicker defensive players - I still expect this defense to be the best it has been in a decade. Venables brings his aggressive defensive tactics from Clemson, where the Tigers had one of college football's best defenses for years. This Sooner offense will be just fine without Lincoln Riley.ĭespite all the winning Riley did at Oklahoma, his defense held him back from winning playoff games. OU has an outstanding offensive line coach, and the squad has weapons all around Gabriel. Lebby is a former Sooner who crafted explosive offensives at Baylor, UCF and most recently, Ole Miss. The Sooners also snagged Dillon Gabriel from UCF to quarterback an offense that's led by new offensive play-caller Jeff Lebby. Oklahoma replaced Riley with long-time Clemson defensive coordinator Brent Venables, giving the career-assistant his first opportunity to be a head coach. Yes, the Sooners went through some changes after that painful loss former head coach Lincoln Riley bolted to USC and brought the starting quarterback ( Caleb Williams) and the best receiver ( Mario Williams) along with him.
Oklahoma won the Big 12 for six years in a row before losing the crown to Baylor last season. Maybe I’m old-fashioned, but I’ll continue to ride with the most talented and best-coached team in the conference. Oklahoma : +200 at FOX Bet (bet $10 to win $30 total) to win the Big 12
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